Mon, Oct 27 2025 • 14:00 • Alexandria Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.56 (league 1.07) 0.31 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.1% 49.4% 16.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
41.7%
1 - 0
23.5%
0 - 1
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
El Gouna FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Smouha SC 0 41.7% 13.0% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.5% 7.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.6% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSmouha SCEl Gouna FC
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack44%44%
Defense78%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

41%
FT probability

2.5+

29%
FT probability

3.5+

20%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Smouha SC El Gouna FC
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins40%20%30%0%40%20%
Draws60%60%60%80%40%60%
Loses0%20%10%20%20%20%

Form: Smouha SC: DDDWDLWDWD • El Gouna FC: WDDDLDDDWL

League goals

Metric Smouha SC El Gouna FC
HATHAT
GF total538347
GF avg1.00.60.80.60.80.7
GA total235639
GA avg0.40.60.51.20.60.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSmouha SCEl Gouna FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%50%70%60%
1.520%0%0%20%
2.50%0%0%10%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSmouha SCEl Gouna FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets325134
Failed to score134213

Penalties

MetricSmouha SCEl Gouna FC
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricSmouha SCEl Gouna FC
Wins11
Draws33
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-2—0-1
Biggest losses—1-00-32-1
Goals For2211
Goals Against1132

Model comparison

MetricSmouha SCEl Gouna FC
Form57%43%
Att50%50%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h25%75%
Goals33%67%
Total50.8%49.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Smouha SC or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ William Hill
Draw2.88 @ Bet365
Away4.44 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.40 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.34 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.62 @ Bet365
No1.50 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Smouha SC = 0.56 (league 1.07), El Gouna FC = 0.31 (league 1.03)

El Gouna FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Smouha SC 0 41.7% 13.0% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.5% 7.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.6% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.1% · Draw 49.4% · Away win 16.6%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1