Premier League
— Egypt
Mon, Mar 9 2026 • 19:30 •
Gehaz El Reyada El Askari Stadium
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 1.08)
1.55 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 14.5% | 25.3% | 59.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
17.9%
0 - 2
13.8%
0 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Al Ahly | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| El Geish | 0 | 11.5% | 17.9% | 13.8% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 7.0% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | El Geish | Al Ahly |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 73% |
| Attack | 29% | 43% |
| Defense | 71% | 86% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | El Geish | Al Ahly | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| Wins | 22% | 11% | 17% | 70% | 38% | 56% |
| Draws | 33% | 44% | 39% | 20% | 63% | 39% |
| Loses | 44% | 44% | 44% | 10% | 0% | 6% |
Form: El Geish: DLWLDWLDLLLDLDDLDW • Al Ahly: DWDLDWWWWWDDWDWWWD
League goals
| Metric | El Geish | Al Ahly | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 13 | 29 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 9 | 13 | 22 | 7 | 9 | 16 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | El Geish | Al Ahly | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 44% | 67% | 83% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 11% | 33% | 44% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 17% | 22% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 6% | 11% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | El Geish | Al Ahly | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | El Geish | Al Ahly |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | El Geish | Al Ahly |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-1 | 4-1 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-0 | 0-2 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | El Geish | Al Ahly |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 35% | 65% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 27% | 73% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 34.7% | 65.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Al Ahly and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): El Geish = 0.61 (league 1.08), Al Ahly = 1.55 (league 1.03)
| Al Ahly | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| El Geish | 0 | 11.5% | 17.9% | 13.8% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 7.0% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.5% · Draw 25.3% · Away win 59.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1