Tue, Jan 27 2026 • 15:00 • Al Salam Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.08) 1.16 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.3% 28.6% 36.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 1
12.0%
1 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Wadi Degla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Ahly 0 10.3% 12.0% 7.0% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.4% 13.3% 7.7% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.4% 7.4% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.4% 2.7% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl AhlyWadi Degla
Played55
Form73%53%
Attack53%41%
Defense71%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al Ahly Wadi Degla
HATHAT
Played66128614
Wins67%33%50%38%50%43%
Draws17%67%42%38%33%36%
Loses17%0%8%25%17%21%

Form: Al Ahly: DWDLDWWWWWDD • Wadi Degla: DLLWWWWDDDLWDW

League goals

Metric Al Ahly Wadi Degla
HATHAT
GF total911209918
GF avg1.51.81.71.11.51.3
GA total58138513
GA avg0.81.31.11.00.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl AhlyWadi Degla
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%71%79%
1.550%33%36%14%
2.525%0%14%0%
3.517%0%7%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl AhlyWadi Degla
HATHAT
Clean sheets213213
Failed to score213224

Penalties

MetricAl AhlyWadi Degla
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricAl AhlyWadi Degla
Wins54
Draws13
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-43-21-4
Biggest losses0-2—1-21-0
Goals For4434
Goals Against2221

Model comparison

MetricAl AhlyWadi Degla
Form58%42%
Att56%44%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h93%7%
Goals82%18%
Total65.5%34.5%

Advice: Double chance : Al Ahly or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.73 @ William Hill
Draw3.60 @ 188Bet
Away6.41 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.68 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.40 @ Marathonbet
No1.60 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Al Ahly = 1.11 (league 1.08), Wadi Degla = 1.16 (league 1.03)

Wadi Degla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Ahly 0 10.3% 12.0% 7.0% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.4% 13.3% 7.7% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.4% 7.4% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.4% 2.7% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.3% · Draw 28.6% · Away win 36.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1