Thu, Feb 19 2026 • 19:30 • Cairo International Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.08) 0.78 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.0% 35.2% 30.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
20.0%
1 - 0
16.7%
0 - 1
15.5%
Score & goals probability table
El Gouna FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Ahly 0 20.0% 15.5% 6.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.7% 12.9% 5.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 6.9% 5.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl AhlyEl Gouna FC
Played55
Form60%53%
Attack100%83%
Defense50%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al Ahly El Gouna FC
HATHAT
Played87157815
Wins75%29%53%0%50%27%
Draws13%71%40%71%38%53%
Loses13%0%7%29%13%20%

Form: Al Ahly: DWDLDWWWWWDDWDW • El Gouna FC: WDDDLDDDWLWLWDD

League goals

Metric Al Ahly El Gouna FC
HATHAT
GF total1412264812
GF avg1.81.71.70.61.00.8
GA total69158412
GA avg0.81.31.01.10.50.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl AhlyEl Gouna FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%73%73%60%
1.553%27%7%13%
2.527%0%0%7%
3.513%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl AhlyEl Gouna FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets314156
Failed to score213314

Penalties

MetricAl AhlyEl Gouna FC
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricAl AhlyEl Gouna FC
Wins51
Draws23
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-4—0-2
Biggest losses0-2—0-32-1
Goals For4412
Goals Against2232

Model comparison

MetricAl AhlyEl Gouna FC
Form53%47%
Att58%42%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h85%15%
Goals89%11%
Total64.7%35.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Al Ahly or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.36 @ Betano
Draw4.80 @ 188Bet
Away11.28 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.06 @ SBO
Under 2.51.94 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.55 @ Betfair
No1.56 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Al Ahly = 0.83 (league 1.08), El Gouna FC = 0.78 (league 1.03)

El Gouna FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Ahly 0 20.0% 15.5% 6.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.7% 12.9% 5.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 6.9% 5.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.0% · Draw 35.2% · Away win 30.7%

vtt 12 , vtd1