Mon, Feb 23 2026 • 19:30 • Cairo International Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.50 (league 1.08) 0.84 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.5% 38.5% 41.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
26.3%
0 - 1
22.0%
1 - 0
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
El Mokawloon
0 1 2 3 4 5
El Gouna FC 0 26.3% 22.0% 9.2% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.1% 11.0% 4.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 3.3% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEl Gouna FCEl Mokawloon
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack50%50%
Defense50%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

46%
FT probability

2.5+

33%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric El Gouna FC El Mokawloon
HATHAT
Played79169918
Wins0%44%25%0%33%17%
Draws71%33%50%56%33%44%
Loses29%22%25%44%33%39%

Form: El Gouna FC: WDDDLDDDWLWLWDDL • El Mokawloon: LDDLLDDDLLDWDLWLWD

League goals

Metric El Gouna FC El Mokawloon
HATHAT
GF total48124711
GF avg0.60.90.80.40.80.6
GA total85139817
GA avg1.10.60.81.00.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEl Gouna FCEl Mokawloon
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%63%50%78%
1.56%13%11%17%
2.50%6%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEl Gouna FCEl Mokawloon
HATHAT
Clean sheets156134
Failed to score325549

Penalties

MetricEl Gouna FCEl Mokawloon
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricEl Gouna FCEl Mokawloon
Wins11
Draws33
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-2—1-2
Biggest losses0-32-10-22-0
Goals For1212
Goals Against3222

Model comparison

MetricEl Gouna FCEl Mokawloon
Form42%58%
Att50%50%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h38%62%
Goals38%63%
Total43.2%57.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or El Mokawloon and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.84 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.80 @ Betfair
Away3.25 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.35 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.36 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.50 @ Bet365
No1.60 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): El Gouna FC = 0.50 (league 1.08), El Mokawloon = 0.84 (league 1.05)

El Mokawloon
0 1 2 3 4 5
El Gouna FC 0 26.3% 22.0% 9.2% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.1% 11.0% 4.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 3.3% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.5% · Draw 38.5% · Away win 41.0%

vtt 2 , vtd1