Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 19:30 • Cairo International Stadium
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.08) 0.75 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.3% 29.4% 22.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.0%
0 - 0
13.5%
1 - 1
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Masr
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Ahly 0 13.5% 10.0% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.0% 12.6% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.7% 8.0% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.5% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl AhlyMasr
Played55
Form87%53%
Attack100%100%
Defense67%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al Ahly Masr
HATHAT
Played98179918
Wins78%38%59%33%33%33%
Draws11%63%35%33%44%39%
Loses11%0%6%33%22%28%

Form: Al Ahly: DWDLDWWWWWDDWDWWW • Masr: WDDLDWLWLLWDDWWDDL

League goals

Metric Al Ahly Masr
HATHAT
GF total15132881018
GF avg1.71.61.60.91.11.0
GA total69158715
GA avg0.71.10.90.90.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl AhlyMasr
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%65%72%67%
1.547%24%28%17%
2.524%0%0%0%
3.512%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl AhlyMasr
HATHAT
Clean sheets426336
Failed to score213235

Penalties

MetricAl AhlyMasr
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricAl AhlyMasr
Wins52
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-42-10-2
Biggest losses0-2—1-21-0
Goals For4422
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricAl AhlyMasr
Form62%38%
Att57%43%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h100%0%
Goals83%17%
Total66.2%33.8%

Advice: Double chance : Al Ahly or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.64 @ 1xBet
Draw4.10 @ 188Bet
Away7.10 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.33 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.55 @ 188Bet
No1.61 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Al Ahly = 1.26 (league 1.08), Masr = 0.75 (league 1.03)

Masr
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Ahly 0 13.5% 10.0% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.0% 12.6% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.7% 8.0% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.5% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.3% · Draw 29.4% · Away win 22.0%

vtt 4 , vtd1