Thu, Mar 5 2026 • 19:30 • Arab Contractors Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.41 (league 1.08) 1.55 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.4% 24.5% 65.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
21.9%
0 - 2
17.0%
0 - 0
14.1%
Score & goals probability table
Al Ahly
0 1 2 3 4 5
El Mokawloon 0 14.1% 21.9% 17.0% 8.8% 3.4% 1.1%
1 5.8% 8.9% 6.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4%
2 1.2% 1.8% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEl MokawloonAl Ahly
Played55
Form53%73%
Attack36%43%
Defense71%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric El Mokawloon Al Ahly
HATHAT
Played9101910818
Wins0%30%16%70%38%56%
Draws56%40%47%20%63%39%
Loses44%30%37%10%0%6%

Form: El Mokawloon: LDDLLDDDLLDWDLWLWDD • Al Ahly: DWDLDWWWWWDDWDWWWD

League goals

Metric El Mokawloon Al Ahly
HATHAT
GF total4812161329
GF avg0.40.80.61.61.61.6
GA total99187916
GA avg1.00.90.90.71.10.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEl MokawloonAl Ahly
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.553%79%83%67%
1.511%16%44%22%
2.50%0%22%0%
3.50%0%11%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEl MokawloonAl Ahly
HATHAT
Clean sheets134426
Failed to score549213

Penalties

MetricEl MokawloonAl Ahly
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricEl MokawloonAl Ahly
Wins15
Draws32
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-24-12-4
Biggest losses0-22-00-2—
Goals For1244
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricEl MokawloonAl Ahly
Form42%58%
Att45%55%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution23%77%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total32.7%67.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Al Ahly and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.62 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.91 @ Pinnacle
Away1.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.17 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.73 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ Bet365
No1.62 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): El Mokawloon = 0.41 (league 1.08), Al Ahly = 1.55 (league 1.03)

Al Ahly
0 1 2 3 4 5
El Mokawloon 0 14.1% 21.9% 17.0% 8.8% 3.4% 1.1%
1 5.8% 8.9% 6.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4%
2 1.2% 1.8% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.4% · Draw 24.5% · Away win 65.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1