Mon, Feb 23 2026 • 19:30 • Alexandria Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.08) 0.81 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.5% 28.4% 22.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.7%
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Al Ahly
0 1 2 3 4 5
Smouha SC 0 11.9% 9.6% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.7% 12.7% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.4% 8.4% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.6% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSmouha SCAl Ahly
Played55
Form60%73%
Attack75%88%
Defense50%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Smouha SC Al Ahly
HATHAT
Played89179716
Wins50%22%35%78%29%56%
Draws38%44%41%11%71%38%
Loses13%33%24%11%0%6%

Form: Smouha SC: DDDWDLWDWDLDWWWLL • Al Ahly: DWDLDWWWWWDDWDWW

League goals

Metric Smouha SC Al Ahly
HATHAT
GF total9615151227
GF avg1.10.70.91.71.71.7
GA total47116915
GA avg0.50.80.60.71.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSmouha SCAl Ahly
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%65%81%69%
1.529%0%50%25%
2.50%0%25%0%
3.50%0%13%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSmouha SCAl Ahly
HATHAT
Clean sheets426415
Failed to score257213

Penalties

MetricSmouha SCAl Ahly
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricSmouha SCAl Ahly
Wins35
Draws32
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-24-12-4
Biggest losses0-11-00-2—
Goals For2244
Goals Against1122

Model comparison

MetricSmouha SCAl Ahly
Form45%55%
Att46%54%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h7%93%
Goals11%89%
Total33.8%66.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Al Ahly

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.93 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ 188Bet
Away1.62 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.80 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.75 @ Bet365
No1.56 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Smouha SC = 1.32 (league 1.08), Al Ahly = 0.81 (league 1.05)

Al Ahly
0 1 2 3 4 5
Smouha SC 0 11.9% 9.6% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.7% 12.7% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.4% 8.4% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.6% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.5% · Draw 28.4% · Away win 22.9%

vtt 5 , vtd1