Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 •
Gradski stadion
Expected Goals
5.48 (league 1.93)
0.60 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 50.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
best score tips
5 - 0
9.4%
4 - 0
8.6%
3 - 0
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Rodopa Smolyan | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nesebar | 0 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.6% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 9.4% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nesebar | Rodopa Smolyan |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 67% |
| Attack | 100% | 47% |
| Defense | 84% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 19 | 3.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
79%
FT probability
3.5+
56%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nesebar | Rodopa Smolyan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Wins | 100% | 75% | 86% | 60% | 33% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 13% |
| Loses | 0% | 25% | 14% | 20% | 67% | 38% |
Form: Nesebar: LWWWWWW • Rodopa Smolyan: WLLDLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Nesebar | Rodopa Smolyan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 7 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| GF avg | 5.3 | 1.8 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 0 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nesebar | Rodopa Smolyan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 57% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% | 50% | 63% |
| 2.5 | 43% | 0% | 38% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 29% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nesebar | Rodopa Smolyan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nesebar | Rodopa Smolyan |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nesebar | Rodopa Smolyan |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 9-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 0-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 9 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nesebar | Rodopa Smolyan |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 68% | 32% |
| Def | 70% | 30% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 79% | 21% |
| Total | 69.3% | 30.8% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Nesebar and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Nesebar = 5.48 (league 1.93), Rodopa Smolyan = 0.60 (league 1.17)
| Rodopa Smolyan | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nesebar | 0 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.6% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 9.4% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.6% · Draw 1.9% · Away win 0.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1