Wed, Oct 1 2025 • 14:00 •
Stadion Vasil Levski
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.94)
2.17 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 28.2% | 20.6% | 48.3% |
best score tips
1 - 2
8.7%
1 - 1
8.0%
2 - 2
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Nesebar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Levski Karlovo | 0 | 2.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 3.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 3.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Levski Karlovo | Nesebar |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 87% |
| Attack | 53% | 100% |
| Defense | 53% | 87% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 17 | 3.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
68%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Levski Karlovo | Nesebar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 80% | 25% | 56% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 11% | 25% | 0% | 13% |
| Loses | 20% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 25% | 13% |
Form: Levski Karlovo: WLWDLWLWW • Nesebar: LWWWWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Levski Karlovo | Nesebar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 7 | 23 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 2.9 |
| GA total | 7 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Levski Karlovo | Nesebar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 67% | 88% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 56% | 22% | 75% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 22% | 38% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 11% | 25% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 11% | 13% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Levski Karlovo | Nesebar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Levski Karlovo | Nesebar |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Levski Karlovo | Nesebar |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-1 | 9-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 3-2 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 9 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Levski Karlovo | Nesebar |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 32% | 68% |
| Def | 22% | 78% |
| Poisson Distribution | 42% | 58% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 14% | 86% |
| Total | 30.2% | 69.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Nesebar
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Levski Karlovo = 1.61 (league 1.94), Nesebar = 2.17 (league 1.16)
| Nesebar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Levski Karlovo | 0 | 2.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 3.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 3.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.2% · Draw 20.6% · Away win 48.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1