Wed, Oct 1 2025 • 14:00 •
Stadion Septemvri
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.93)
2.75 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 11.6% | 15.1% | 67.2% |
best score tips
1 - 2
8.9%
0 - 2
8.6%
1 - 3
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Maritsa Plovdiv | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rodopa Smolyan | 0 | 2.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| 1 | 2.4% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Rodopa Smolyan | Maritsa Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 87% |
| Attack | 53% | 80% |
| Defense | 60% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
93%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Rodopa Smolyan | Maritsa Plovdiv | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Wins | 60% | 25% | 44% | 80% | 100% | 88% |
| Draws | 20% | 25% | 22% | 20% | 0% | 13% |
| Loses | 20% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Rodopa Smolyan: WLLDLWWWD • Maritsa Plovdiv: WWWDWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Rodopa Smolyan | Maritsa Plovdiv | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 3 | 13 | 16 | 6 | 22 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 2.8 |
| GA total | 8 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Rodopa Smolyan | Maritsa Plovdiv | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 67% | 88% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 56% | 75% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 22% | 63% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 11% | 38% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Rodopa Smolyan | Maritsa Plovdiv | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Rodopa Smolyan | Maritsa Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Rodopa Smolyan | Maritsa Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-1 | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Rodopa Smolyan | Maritsa Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 27% | 73% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 47% | 53% |
| Total | 39.2% | 60.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Maritsa Plovdiv
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Rodopa Smolyan = 1.04 (league 1.93), Maritsa Plovdiv = 2.75 (league 1.17)
| Maritsa Plovdiv | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rodopa Smolyan | 0 | 2.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| 1 | 2.4% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.6% · Draw 15.1% · Away win 67.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1