Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 13:00 •
Gradski stadion
Expected Goals
4.18 (league 1.91)
1.06 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 63.8% | 7.2% | 4.5% |
best score tips
4 - 1
7.1%
3 - 1
6.8%
4 - 0
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Maritsa Milevo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nesebar | 0 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.4% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 6.7% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nesebar | Maritsa Milevo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 47% |
| Attack | 100% | 69% |
| Defense | 85% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 16 | 3.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
74%
FT probability
3.5+
53%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nesebar | Maritsa Milevo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Wins | 75% | 80% | 78% | 67% | 25% | 50% |
| Draws | 25% | 0% | 11% | 17% | 0% | 10% |
| Loses | 0% | 20% | 11% | 17% | 75% | 40% |
Form: Nesebar: LWWWWWWDW • Maritsa Milevo: WLWLWLLWWD
League goals
| Metric | Nesebar | Maritsa Milevo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 10 | 26 | 13 | 8 | 21 |
| GF avg | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 11 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nesebar | Maritsa Milevo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 44% | 90% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 78% | 11% | 50% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 44% | 0% | 30% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 22% | 0% | 30% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 11% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nesebar | Maritsa Milevo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nesebar | Maritsa Milevo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nesebar | Maritsa Milevo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 9-0 | 0-3 | 4-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 9 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nesebar | Maritsa Milevo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 65% | 35% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 66.7% | 33.3% |
Advice: Winner : Nesebar
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Nesebar = 4.18 (league 1.91), Maritsa Milevo = 1.06 (league 1.13)
| Maritsa Milevo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nesebar | 0 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.4% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 6.7% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.8% · Draw 7.2% · Away win 4.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1