Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadion Maritsa
Expected Goals
2.15 (league 1.93)
0.34 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 77.5% | 15.6% | 4.7% |
best score tips
2 - 0
19.1%
1 - 0
17.8%
3 - 0
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Levski Karlovo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Maritsa Plovdiv | 0 | 8.3% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.8% | 6.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.1% | 6.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.7% | 4.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Maritsa Plovdiv | Levski Karlovo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 60% |
| Attack | 100% | 62% |
| Defense | 62% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 16 | 3.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
90%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Maritsa Plovdiv | Levski Karlovo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Wins | 80% | 100% | 89% | 67% | 25% | 50% |
| Draws | 20% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 25% | 10% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
Form: Maritsa Plovdiv: WWWDWWWWW • Levski Karlovo: WLWDLWLWWL
League goals
| Metric | Maritsa Plovdiv | Levski Karlovo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 10 | 26 | 12 | 4 | 16 |
| GF avg | 3.2 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 15 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Maritsa Plovdiv | Levski Karlovo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 56% | 70% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 78% | 11% | 50% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 67% | 0% | 30% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 44% | 0% | 10% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 11% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Maritsa Plovdiv | Levski Karlovo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Maritsa Plovdiv | Levski Karlovo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Maritsa Plovdiv | Levski Karlovo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-4 | 4-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Maritsa Plovdiv | Levski Karlovo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 86% | 14% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 71.8% | 28.4% |
Advice: Winner : Maritsa Plovdiv
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Maritsa Plovdiv = 2.15 (league 1.93), Levski Karlovo = 0.34 (league 1.17)
| Levski Karlovo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Maritsa Plovdiv | 0 | 8.3% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.8% | 6.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.1% | 6.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.7% | 4.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.5% · Draw 15.6% · Away win 4.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1