Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadion Septemvri
Expected Goals
0.94 (league 1.91)
2.12 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 15.6% | 19.8% | 62.4% |
best score tips
0 - 2
10.5%
0 - 1
9.9%
1 - 2
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Zagorets | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rodopa Smolyan | 0 | 4.7% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 4.4% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% | |
| 2 | 2.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Rodopa Smolyan | Zagorets |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 53% |
| Attack | 67% | 67% |
| Defense | 0% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 17 | 3.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Rodopa Smolyan | Zagorets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 50% | 20% | 36% | 60% | 40% | 50% |
| Draws | 17% | 0% | 9% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Loses | 33% | 80% | 55% | 0% | 20% | 10% |
Form: Rodopa Smolyan: WLLDLWWWLLL • Zagorets: DWDWWWLDDW
League goals
| Metric | Rodopa Smolyan | Zagorets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 12 | 17 | 29 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 3.4 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Rodopa Smolyan | Zagorets | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 82% | 80% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 73% | 60% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 27% | 45% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 27% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 9% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Rodopa Smolyan | Zagorets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Rodopa Smolyan | Zagorets |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Rodopa Smolyan | Zagorets |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 8-0 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 8 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Rodopa Smolyan | Zagorets |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 23% | 77% |
| Poisson Distribution | 30% | 70% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 27% | 73% |
| Total | 35.5% | 64.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Zagorets
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Rodopa Smolyan = 0.94 (league 1.91), Zagorets = 2.12 (league 1.13)
| Zagorets | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rodopa Smolyan | 0 | 4.7% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 4.4% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% | |
| 2 | 2.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.6% · Draw 19.8% · Away win 62.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1