Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 12:30 • Vekta complex
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.91) 1.35 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.0% 26.6% 40.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.6%
0 - 1
10.5%
1 - 0
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Nesebar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartak Plovdiv 0 7.8% 10.5% 7.1% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3%
1 9.3% 12.6% 8.6% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.6% 7.6% 5.1% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.2% 3.0% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpartak PlovdivNesebar
Played55
Form47%80%
Attack56%100%
Defense44%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Spartak Plovdiv Nesebar
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins57%25%40%100%71%87%
Draws29%38%33%0%0%0%
Loses14%38%27%0%29%13%

Form: Spartak Plovdiv: DLDWDWLWDWDLWLW • Nesebar: LWWWWWWWWWWWLWW

League goals

Metric Spartak Plovdiv Nesebar
HATHAT
GF total16723341246
GF avg2.30.91.54.31.73.1
GA total6814279
GA avg0.91.00.90.31.00.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpartak PlovdivNesebar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%93%53%
1.547%27%80%7%
2.527%0%47%0%
3.57%0%27%0%
4.57%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpartak PlovdivNesebar
HATHAT
Clean sheets325617
Failed to score235011

Penalties

MetricSpartak PlovdivNesebar
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSpartak PlovdivNesebar
Wins111
Draws10
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-29-00-3
Biggest losses0-12-1—2-1
Goals For5293
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricSpartak PlovdivNesebar
Form37%63%
Att33%67%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h15%85%
Goals38%63%
Total34.8%65.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Nesebar

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Spartak Plovdiv = 1.20 (league 1.91), Nesebar = 1.35 (league 1.13)

Nesebar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartak Plovdiv 0 7.8% 10.5% 7.1% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3%
1 9.3% 12.6% 8.6% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.6% 7.6% 5.1% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.2% 3.0% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.0% · Draw 26.6% · Away win 40.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1