Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 12:30 •
Vekta complex
Expected Goals
1.24 (league 1.85)
1.34 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.4% | 26.5% | 38.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.6%
0 - 1
10.1%
1 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Nesebar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Spartak Plovdiv | 0 | 7.6% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.4% | 12.6% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Spartak Plovdiv | Nesebar |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 80% |
| Attack | 56% | 100% |
| Defense | 44% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Spartak Plovdiv | Nesebar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 57% | 25% | 40% | 100% | 71% | 87% |
| Draws | 29% | 38% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 14% | 38% | 27% | 0% | 29% | 13% |
Form: Spartak Plovdiv: DLDWDWLWDWDLWLW • Nesebar: LWWWWWWWWWWWLWW
League goals
| Metric | Spartak Plovdiv | Nesebar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 12 | 46 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 3.1 |
| GA total | 6 | 8 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 9 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Spartak Plovdiv | Nesebar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 67% | 93% | 53% |
| 1.5 | 47% | 27% | 80% | 7% |
| 2.5 | 27% | 0% | 47% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 0% | 27% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Spartak Plovdiv | Nesebar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Spartak Plovdiv | Nesebar |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Spartak Plovdiv | Nesebar |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 11 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-2 | 9-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-1 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 9 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Spartak Plovdiv | Nesebar |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 37% | 63% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 48% | 52% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 34.8% | 65.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Nesebar
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Spartak Plovdiv = 1.24 (league 1.85), Nesebar = 1.34 (league 1.15)
| Nesebar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Spartak Plovdiv | 0 | 7.6% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.4% | 12.6% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.4% · Draw 26.5% · Away win 38.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1