Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 12:30 •
Gradski stadion
Expected Goals
2.02 (league 1.91)
0.35 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 75.8% | 17.2% | 5.3% |
best score tips
2 - 0
19.2%
1 - 0
19.0%
3 - 0
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Zagorets | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nesebar | 0 | 9.4% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.0% | 6.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.2% | 6.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.9% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nesebar | Zagorets |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 40% |
| Attack | 100% | 56% |
| Defense | 67% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
90%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nesebar | Zagorets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 7 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| Wins | 100% | 71% | 87% | 43% | 38% | 40% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 43% | 50% | 47% |
| Loses | 0% | 29% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 13% |
Form: Nesebar: LWWWWWWWWWWWLWW • Zagorets: DWDWWWLDDWDLDDW
League goals
| Metric | Nesebar | Zagorets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 34 | 12 | 46 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| GF avg | 4.3 | 1.7 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nesebar | Zagorets | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 93% | 53% | 80% | 53% |
| 1.5 | 80% | 7% | 47% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 47% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 27% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nesebar | Zagorets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nesebar | Zagorets |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nesebar | Zagorets |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 11 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 9-0 | 0-3 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nesebar | Zagorets |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 87% | 13% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 61.5% | 38.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Nesebar or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Nesebar = 2.02 (league 1.91), Zagorets = 0.35 (league 1.13)
| Zagorets | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nesebar | 0 | 9.4% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.0% | 6.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.2% | 6.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.9% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.8% · Draw 17.2% · Away win 5.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1