Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 12:30 •
Gradski stadion
Expected Goals
2.03 (league 1.91)
0.34 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 76.0% | 17.0% | 5.2% |
best score tips
2 - 0
19.2%
1 - 0
18.9%
3 - 0
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Zagorets | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nesebar | 0 | 9.3% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.9% | 6.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.2% | 6.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.0% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.6% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nesebar | Zagorets |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 53% |
| Attack | 42% | 32% |
| Defense | 89% | 84% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nesebar | Zagorets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| Wins | 100% | 63% | 81% | 50% | 38% | 44% |
| Draws | 0% | 13% | 6% | 38% | 50% | 44% |
| Loses | 0% | 25% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
Form: Nesebar: LWWWWWWWWWWWLWWD • Zagorets: DWDWWWLDDWDLDDWW
League goals
| Metric | Nesebar | Zagorets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 34 | 12 | 46 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| GF avg | 4.3 | 1.5 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nesebar | Zagorets | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 50% | 81% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 75% | 6% | 50% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 44% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nesebar | Zagorets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nesebar | Zagorets |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nesebar | Zagorets |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 11 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 9-0 | 0-3 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nesebar | Zagorets |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 87% | 13% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 58.5% | 41.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Nesebar or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Nesebar = 2.03 (league 1.91), Zagorets = 0.34 (league 1.14)
| Zagorets | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nesebar | 0 | 9.3% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.9% | 6.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.2% | 6.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.0% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.6% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.0% · Draw 17.0% · Away win 5.2%
Vtot 2 , Vtod1