Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 12:30 •
Stadion Shipka
Expected Goals
0.49 (league 1.85)
1.70 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 10.1% | 22.6% | 66.5% |
best score tips
0 - 1
19.1%
0 - 2
16.2%
0 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Nesebar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Asenovets | 0 | 11.2% | 19.1% | 16.2% | 9.2% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 5.5% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Asenovets | Nesebar |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 67% |
| Attack | 38% | 54% |
| Defense | 0% | 85% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Asenovets | Nesebar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 10 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| Wins | 43% | 0% | 18% | 100% | 63% | 82% |
| Draws | 14% | 10% | 12% | 0% | 13% | 6% |
| Loses | 43% | 90% | 71% | 0% | 25% | 12% |
Form: Asenovets: LWDLLLLLLWLLLDLWL • Nesebar: LWWWWWWWWWWWLWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Asenovets | Nesebar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 7 | 14 | 37 | 12 | 49 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 2.9 |
| GA total | 9 | 32 | 41 | 2 | 7 | 9 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Asenovets | Nesebar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 82% | 88% | 47% |
| 1.5 | 12% | 82% | 76% | 6% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 47% | 47% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 24% | 24% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 6% | 12% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Asenovets | Nesebar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Asenovets | Nesebar |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Asenovets | Nesebar |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 11 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | 9-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 5-0 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 9 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Asenovets | Nesebar |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 13% | 88% |
| Poisson Distribution | 21% | 79% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 32% | 68% |
| Total | 27.7% | 72.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Nesebar
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home12.00 @ 1xBet
Draw9.40 @ 1xBet
Away1.12 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.36 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.74 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Asenovets = 0.49 (league 1.85), Nesebar = 1.70 (league 1.15)
| Nesebar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Asenovets | 0 | 11.2% | 19.1% | 16.2% | 9.2% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 5.5% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.1% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 66.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1