Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 12:30 •
Stadion Zagorets
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.91)
1.11 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 26.4% | 31.1% | 42.3% |
best score tips
0 - 1
16.3%
0 - 0
14.7%
1 - 1
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Maritsa Plovdiv | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Zagorets | 0 | 14.7% | 16.3% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.9% | 13.2% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Zagorets | Maritsa Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 67% |
| Attack | 28% | 72% |
| Defense | 78% | 72% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Zagorets | Maritsa Plovdiv | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 17 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 41% | 80% | 71% | 76% |
| Draws | 38% | 44% | 41% | 20% | 0% | 12% |
| Loses | 13% | 22% | 18% | 0% | 29% | 12% |
Form: Zagorets: DWDWWWLDDWDLDDWWL • Maritsa Plovdiv: WWWDWWWWWWLWWWLWD
League goals
| Metric | Zagorets | Maritsa Plovdiv | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 10 | 21 | 30 | 15 | 45 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 2.6 |
| GA total | 5 | 10 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Zagorets | Maritsa Plovdiv | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 53% | 88% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 47% | 29% | 76% | 24% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 6% | 53% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 35% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 12% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Zagorets | Maritsa Plovdiv | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Zagorets | Maritsa Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Zagorets | Maritsa Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-0 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Zagorets | Maritsa Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 28% | 72% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 23% | 77% |
| Total | 36.7% | 63.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Maritsa Plovdiv
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Zagorets = 0.81 (league 1.91), Maritsa Plovdiv = 1.11 (league 1.14)
| Maritsa Plovdiv | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Zagorets | 0 | 14.7% | 16.3% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.9% | 13.2% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.4% · Draw 31.1% · Away win 42.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1