Lokomotiv Plovdiv II vs Maritsa Milevo

Third League - Southeast — Bulgaria

Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 12:30 • Plovdiv Stadium

Match Finished

Lokomotiv Plovdiv II

0 - 1

Maritsa Milevo

Expected Goals

1.98 (league 1.91) 1.41 (league 1.14)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
49.3%	21.8%	27.0%

best score tips

1 - 1

9.4%

2 - 1

9.3%

1 - 0

6.7%

Score & goals probability table

		Maritsa Milevo
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Lokomotiv Plovdiv II	0	3.4%	4.7%	3.3%	1.6%	0.6%	0.2%
	1	6.7%	9.4%	6.6%	3.1%	1.1%	0.3%
	2	6.6%	9.3%	6.6%	3.1%	1.1%	0.3%
	3	4.4%	6.2%	4.3%	2.0%	0.7%	0.2%
	4	2.2%	3.1%	2.2%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%
	5	0.9%	1.2%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Lokomotiv Plovdiv II	Maritsa Milevo
Played	5	5
Form	40%	60%
Attack	62%	85%
Defense	46%	54%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	8 \| 1.6	11 \| 2.2
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	7 \| 1.4	6 \| 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%

FT probability

2.5+

64%

FT probability

3.5+

45%

FT probability

BTTS

76%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Lokomotiv Plovdiv II			Maritsa Milevo
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	8	9	17	9	8	17
Wins	63%	11%	35%	67%	25%	47%
Draws	13%	11%	12%	22%	25%	24%
Loses	25%	78%	53%	11%	50%	29%

Form: Lokomotiv Plovdiv II: WLLLDDLWWLWLLWLWL • Maritsa Milevo: WLWLWLLWWDLWDDDWW

League goals

Metric	Lokomotiv Plovdiv II			Maritsa Milevo
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	17	7	24	19	16	35
GF avg	2.1	0.8	1.4	2.1	2.0	2.1
GA total	6	16	22	6	14	20
GA avg	0.8	1.8	1.3	0.7	1.8	1.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Lokomotiv Plovdiv II		Maritsa Milevo
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	65%	76%	94%	71%
1.5	29%	35%	59%	35%
2.5	24%	12%	29%	12%
3.5	18%	6%	18%	0%
4.5	6%	0%	6%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Lokomotiv Plovdiv II			Maritsa Milevo
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	3	1	4	3	2	5
Failed to score	1	5	6	1	0	1

Penalties

Metric	Lokomotiv Plovdiv II	Maritsa Milevo
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Lokomotiv Plovdiv II	Maritsa Milevo
Wins	2	2
Draws	2	3
Losses	3	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	5-0	1-4	4-0	0-5
Biggest losses	1-2	4-1	0-1	3-1
Goals For	5	4	4	5
Goals Against	2	4	1	3

Model comparison

Metric	Lokomotiv Plovdiv II	Maritsa Milevo
Form	40%	60%
Att	42%	58%
Def	46%	54%
Poisson Distribution	59%	41%
H2h	20%	80%
Goals	33%	67%
Total	40.0%	60.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Maritsa Milevo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Lokomotiv Plovdiv II vs Maritsa Milevo

Expected goals (λ): Lokomotiv Plovdiv II = 1.98 (league 1.91), Maritsa Milevo = 1.41 (league 1.14)

		Maritsa Milevo
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Lokomotiv Plovdiv II	0	3.4%	4.7%	3.3%	1.6%	0.6%	0.2%
	1	6.7%	9.4%	6.6%	3.1%	1.1%	0.3%
	2	6.6%	9.3%	6.6%	3.1%	1.1%	0.3%
	3	4.4%	6.2%	4.3%	2.0%	0.7%	0.2%
	4	2.2%	3.1%	2.2%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%
	5	0.9%	1.2%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.3% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 27.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1

Metric	Lokomotiv Plovdiv II	Maritsa Milevo
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0