Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 12:30 •
Stadion Septemvri
Expected Goals
1.33 (league 1.91)
3.36 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 11.0% | 12.6% | 63.6% |
best score tips
1 - 3
7.7%
1 - 2
6.9%
1 - 4
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Neftochimic Burgas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rodopa Smolyan | 0 | 0.9% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% |
| 1 | 1.2% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | |
| 2 | 0.8% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Rodopa Smolyan | Neftochimic Burgas |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 87% |
| Attack | 40% | 60% |
| Defense | 20% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
68%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Rodopa Smolyan | Neftochimic Burgas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| Wins | 43% | 29% | 36% | 33% | 75% | 57% |
| Draws | 29% | 0% | 14% | 33% | 0% | 14% |
| Loses | 29% | 71% | 50% | 33% | 25% | 29% |
Form: Rodopa Smolyan: WLLDLWWWLLLDWL • Neftochimic Burgas: WDLLLLWWWWWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Rodopa Smolyan | Neftochimic Burgas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 7 | 19 | 5 | 16 | 21 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 13 | 21 | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.9 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Rodopa Smolyan | Neftochimic Burgas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 86% | 71% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 64% | 57% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 43% | 21% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 21% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Rodopa Smolyan | Neftochimic Burgas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Rodopa Smolyan | Neftochimic Burgas |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Rodopa Smolyan | Neftochimic Burgas |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 7 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 8-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 8 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Rodopa Smolyan | Neftochimic Burgas |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 24% | 76% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 20% | 80% |
| Poisson Distribution | 29% | 71% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 28.3% | 71.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Neftochimic Burgas
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Rodopa Smolyan = 1.33 (league 1.91), Neftochimic Burgas = 3.36 (league 1.13)
| Neftochimic Burgas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rodopa Smolyan | 0 | 0.9% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% |
| 1 | 1.2% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | |
| 2 | 0.8% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.0% · Draw 12.6% · Away win 63.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1