Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 12:30 •
Stadion Maritsa Milevo
Expected Goals
1.67 (league 1.91)
0.96 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 53.4% | 24.3% | 21.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
12.1%
1 - 1
11.5%
2 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Neftochimic Burgas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Maritsa Milevo | 0 | 7.2% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.1% | 11.5% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.1% | 9.7% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.6% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Maritsa Milevo | Neftochimic Burgas |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 53% |
| Attack | 100% | 67% |
| Defense | 33% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
85%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Maritsa Milevo | Neftochimic Burgas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 8 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 16 |
| Wins | 63% | 25% | 44% | 29% | 67% | 50% |
| Draws | 25% | 25% | 25% | 43% | 0% | 19% |
| Loses | 13% | 50% | 31% | 29% | 33% | 31% |
Form: Maritsa Milevo: WLWLWLLWWDLWDDDW • Neftochimic Burgas: WDLLLLWWWWWWWDLD
League goals
| Metric | Maritsa Milevo | Neftochimic Burgas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 16 | 32 | 6 | 16 | 22 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 5 | 14 | 19 | 6 | 14 | 20 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Maritsa Milevo | Neftochimic Burgas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 94% | 69% | 69% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 56% | 38% | 50% | 31% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 13% | 19% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 19% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Maritsa Milevo | Neftochimic Burgas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Maritsa Milevo | Neftochimic Burgas |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Maritsa Milevo | Neftochimic Burgas |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 7 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-5 | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Maritsa Milevo | Neftochimic Burgas |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 55.8% | 44.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Maritsa Milevo or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Maritsa Milevo = 1.67 (league 1.91), Neftochimic Burgas = 0.96 (league 1.13)
| Neftochimic Burgas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Maritsa Milevo | 0 | 7.2% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.1% | 11.5% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.1% | 9.7% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.6% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.4% · Draw 24.3% · Away win 21.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1