Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 14:00 •
Stadion Struma
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.70)
0.38 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6% | 21.1% | 7.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
20.6%
2 - 0
18.1%
0 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Botev Ihtiman | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Septemvri Simitli | 0 | 11.7% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.6% | 7.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.7% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Septemvri Simitli | Botev Ihtiman |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Attack | 31% | 62% |
| Defense | 85% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
73%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Septemvri Simitli | Botev Ihtiman | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 33% | 0% | 20% | 67% | 0% | 40% |
| Draws | 67% | 100% | 80% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
Form: Septemvri Simitli: WDDDD • Botev Ihtiman: WLWDD
League goals
| Metric | Septemvri Simitli | Botev Ihtiman | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 3.0 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Septemvri Simitli | Botev Ihtiman | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 40% | 100% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 0% | 40% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Septemvri Simitli | Botev Ihtiman | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Septemvri Simitli | Botev Ihtiman |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Septemvri Simitli | Botev Ihtiman |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Septemvri Simitli | Botev Ihtiman |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 80% | 20% |
| Poisson Distribution | 82% | 18% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 53.8% | 46.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Septemvri Simitli or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Septemvri Simitli = 1.76 (league 1.70), Botev Ihtiman = 0.38 (league 1.17)
| Botev Ihtiman | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Septemvri Simitli | 0 | 11.7% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.6% | 7.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.7% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.6% · Draw 21.1% · Away win 7.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1