Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 13:00 • MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.47 (league 1.43) 0.63 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.1% 26.5% 15.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.0%
2 - 0
13.2%
0 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Catanzaro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Reggiana 0 12.2% 7.7% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.0% 11.4% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.2% 8.3% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.5% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReggianaCatanzaro
Played33
Form44%33%
Attack36%18%
Defense73%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 1.32 | 0.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 12 | 0.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Reggiana Catanzaro
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins100%0%33%0%0%0%
Draws0%50%33%100%100%100%
Loses0%50%33%0%0%0%

Form: Reggiana: LWD • Catanzaro: DDD

League goals

Metric Reggiana Catanzaro
HATHAT
GF total314202
GF avg3.00.51.31.00.00.7
GA total123202
GA avg1.01.01.01.00.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReggianaCatanzaro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%67%67%
1.533%33%0%0%
2.533%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReggianaCatanzaro
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricReggianaCatanzaro
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricReggianaCatanzaro
Wins10
Draws03
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1
Biggest losses2-1
Goals For3110
Goals Against1210

Model comparison

MetricReggianaCatanzaro
Form57%43%
Att67%33%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h75%25%
Goals58%42%
Total59.4%40.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Reggiana or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.48 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Unibet
Away3.20 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.29 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.66 @ Dafabet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No1.91 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Reggiana = 1.47 (league 1.43), Catanzaro = 0.63 (league 1.11)

Catanzaro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Reggiana 0 12.2% 7.7% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.0% 11.4% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.2% 8.3% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.5% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.1% · Draw 26.5% · Away win 15.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1