Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio dei Marmi - IV Olimpionici Azzurri
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.43) 0.14 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.2% 35.0% 4.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
32.1%
0 - 0
30.5%
2 - 0
16.9%
Score & goals probability table
Avellino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carrarese 0 30.5% 4.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 32.1% 4.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.9% 2.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCarrareseAvellino
Played33
Form56%44%
Attack19%19%
Defense94%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 13 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.34 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

40%
FT probability

2.5+

28%
FT probability

3.5+

20%
FT probability

BTTS

47%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Carrarese Avellino
HATHAT
Played123123
Wins0%50%33%100%0%33%
Draws100%50%67%0%50%33%
Loses0%0%0%0%50%33%

Form: Carrarese: WDD • Avellino: LDW

League goals

Metric Carrarese Avellino
HATHAT
GF total033213
GF avg0.01.51.02.00.51.0
GA total011134
GA avg0.00.50.31.01.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCarrareseAvellino
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%33%67%100%
1.533%0%33%33%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCarrareseAvellino
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricCarrareseAvellino
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCarrareseAvellino
Wins10
Draws01
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-22-1
Biggest losses2-0
Goals For0221
Goals Against0112

Model comparison

MetricCarrareseAvellino
Form56%44%
Att50%50%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total62.0%38.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Carrarese or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.44 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ Marathonbet
Away3.52 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.47 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ Pinnacle
No1.84 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Carrarese = 1.05 (league 1.43), Avellino = 0.14 (league 1.11)

Avellino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carrarese 0 30.5% 4.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 32.1% 4.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.9% 2.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.2% · Draw 35.0% · Away win 4.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1