Serie B — Italy
Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 17:00 • Stadio Benito Stirpe
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.38 (league 1.45) 0.05 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.8% 25.6% 1.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
33.0%
0 - 0
23.9%
2 - 0
22.8%
Score & goals probability table
Sudtirol
0 1 2 3 4 5
Frosinone 0 23.9% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 33.0% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.8% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFrosinoneSudtirol
Played33
Form78%44%
Attack30%40%
Defense100%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 14 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 04 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Frosinone Sudtirol
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins100%50%67%50%0%33%
Draws0%50%33%0%100%33%
Loses0%0%0%50%0%33%

Form: Frosinone: WDW • Sudtirol: DWL

League goals

Metric Frosinone Sudtirol
HATHAT
GF total213314
GF avg2.00.51.01.51.01.3
GA total000314
GA avg0.00.00.01.51.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFrosinoneSudtirol
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%0%67%100%
1.533%0%33%33%
2.50%0%33%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFrosinoneSudtirol
HATHAT
Clean sheets123000
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricFrosinoneSudtirol
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricFrosinoneSudtirol
Wins11
Draws11
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-13-1—
Biggest losses——0-2—
Goals For2131
Goals Against0021

Model comparison

MetricFrosinoneSudtirol
Form64%36%
Att43%57%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h25%75%
Goals22%78%
Total38.5%61.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Frosinone or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.32 @ Dafabet
Draw3.30 @ Dafabet
Away4.09 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.63 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.11 @ 188Bet
No1.81 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Frosinone = 1.38 (league 1.45), Sudtirol = 0.05 (league 1.09)

Sudtirol
0 1 2 3 4 5
Frosinone 0 23.9% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 33.0% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.8% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.8% · Draw 25.6% · Away win 1.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1