Serie B — Italy
Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 15:15 • U-Power Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.07 (league 1.45) 0.92 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.9% 20.3% 15.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.7%
1 - 0
10.4%
2 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Sampdoria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monza 0 5.0% 4.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 10.4% 9.6% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.7% 9.9% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.4% 6.8% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.8% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMonzaSampdoria
Played33
Form44%0%
Attack21%14%
Defense79%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 12 | 0.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 17 | 2.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Monza Sampdoria
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins100%0%33%0%0%0%
Draws0%50%33%0%0%0%
Loses0%50%33%100%100%100%

Form: Monza: WDL • Sampdoria: LLL

League goals

Metric Monza Sampdoria
HATHAT
GF total123112
GF avg1.01.01.00.51.00.7
GA total033437
GA avg0.01.51.02.03.02.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMonzaSampdoria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%67%100%
1.50%33%0%100%
2.50%0%0%33%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMonzaSampdoria
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricMonzaSampdoria
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMonzaSampdoria
Wins10
Draws10
Losses03

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0———
Biggest losses—2-10-23-1
Goals For1111
Goals Against0223

Model comparison

MetricMonzaSampdoria
Form100%0%
Att60%40%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h80%20%
Goals71%29%
Total70.3%29.8%

Advice: Double chance : Monza or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.92 @ 1xBet
Draw3.50 @ Superbet
Away4.75 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.21 @ SBO
Under 2.51.82 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ 188Bet
No1.87 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Monza = 2.07 (league 1.45), Sampdoria = 0.92 (league 1.08)

Sampdoria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monza 0 5.0% 4.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 10.4% 9.6% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.7% 9.9% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.4% 6.8% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.8% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.9% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 15.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1