Serie B — Italy
Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo
Match Finished
1 - 2
Expected Goals
1.38 (league 1.45) 2.31 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.9% 19.6% 55.2%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.2%
1 - 1
8.0%
1 - 3
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
Cesena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Venezia 0 2.5% 5.8% 6.7% 5.1% 3.0% 1.4%
1 3.5% 8.0% 9.2% 7.1% 4.1% 1.9%
2 2.4% 5.5% 6.3% 4.9% 2.8% 1.3%
3 1.1% 2.5% 2.9% 2.2% 1.3% 0.6%
4 0.4% 0.9% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVeneziaCesena
Played33
Form56%78%
Attack36%55%
Defense73%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 1.36 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 13 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Venezia Cesena
HATHAT
Played123123
Wins100%0%33%0%100%67%
Draws0%100%67%100%0%33%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Venezia: WDD • Cesena: WDW

League goals

Metric Venezia Cesena
HATHAT
GF total224156
GF avg2.01.01.31.02.52.0
GA total123123
GA avg1.01.01.01.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVeneziaCesena
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%100%100%
1.567%33%67%0%
2.50%0%33%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVeneziaCesena
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricVeneziaCesena
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricVeneziaCesena
Wins11
Draws01
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1——1-3
Biggest losses————
Goals For2213
Goals Against1211

Model comparison

MetricVeneziaCesena
Form42%58%
Att40%60%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total45.0%55.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Cesena

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.03 @ Dafabet
Draw3.40 @ Superbet
Away4.30 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.70 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ 188Bet
No1.88 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Venezia = 1.38 (league 1.45), Cesena = 2.31 (league 1.08)

Cesena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Venezia 0 2.5% 5.8% 6.7% 5.1% 3.0% 1.4%
1 3.5% 8.0% 9.2% 7.1% 4.1% 1.9%
2 2.4% 5.5% 6.3% 4.9% 2.8% 1.3%
3 1.1% 2.5% 2.9% 2.2% 1.3% 0.6%
4 0.4% 0.9% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.9% · Draw 19.6% · Away win 55.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1