Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 19:00 • Stadio Renzo Barbera
Match Finished
2 - 0
Expected Goals
1.75 (league 1.43) 0.23 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.0% 19.9% 4.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
24.2%
2 - 0
21.2%
0 - 0
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
Bari
0 1 2 3 4 5
Palermo 0 13.8% 3.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.2% 5.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.2% 4.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.4% 2.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.4% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPalermoBari
Played33
Form78%11%
Attack40%20%
Defense90%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 1.32 | 0.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.36 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Palermo Bari
HATHAT
Played213123
Wins50%100%67%0%0%0%
Draws50%0%33%100%0%33%
Loses0%0%0%0%100%67%

Form: Palermo: WDW • Bari: LDL

League goals

Metric Palermo Bari
HATHAT
GF total224112
GF avg1.02.01.31.00.50.7
GA total101156
GA avg0.50.00.31.02.52.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePalermoBari
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%33%67%100%
1.567%0%0%67%
2.50%0%0%33%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPalermoBari
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricPalermoBari
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPalermoBari
Wins10
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-2
Biggest losses3-0
Goals For2211
Goals Against1013

Model comparison

MetricPalermoBari
Form88%13%
Att67%33%
Def86%14%
Poisson Distribution89%11%
H2h71%29%
Goals75%25%
Total79.3%20.8%

Advice: Double chance : Palermo or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.73 @ Dafabet
Draw3.82 @ Marathonbet
Away5.41 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.07 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ Dafabet
No2.07 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Palermo = 1.75 (league 1.43), Bari = 0.23 (league 1.11)

Bari
0 1 2 3 4 5
Palermo 0 13.8% 3.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.2% 5.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.2% 4.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.4% 2.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.4% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.0% · Draw 19.9% · Away win 4.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1