Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Dino Manuzzi
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
0.21 (league 1.43) 1.80 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
3.7% 18.9% 76.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
24.1%
0 - 2
21.7%
0 - 0
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Palermo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cesena 0 13.3% 24.1% 21.7% 13.1% 5.9% 2.1%
1 2.8% 5.1% 4.6% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4%
2 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCesenaPalermo
Played44
Form83%83%
Attack36%27%
Defense82%95%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 26 | 1.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 11 | 0.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cesena Palermo
HATHAT
Played134314
Wins0%100%75%67%100%75%
Draws100%0%25%33%0%25%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Cesena: WDWW • Palermo: WDWW

League goals

Metric Cesena Palermo
HATHAT
GF total178426
GF avg1.02.32.01.32.01.5
GA total134101
GA avg1.01.01.00.30.00.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCesenaPalermo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%75%25%
1.575%0%75%0%
2.525%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCesenaPalermo
HATHAT
Clean sheets000213
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricCesenaPalermo
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCesenaPalermo
Wins11
Draws11
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-32-00-2
Biggest losses
Goals For1322
Goals Against1110

Model comparison

MetricCesenaPalermo
Form50%50%
Att57%43%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h64%36%
Goals60%40%
Total50.2%49.8%

Advice: Double chance : Cesena or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.83 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.24 @ Marathonbet
Away2.79 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ William Hill
No1.92 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.33 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.64 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cesena = 0.21 (league 1.43), Palermo = 1.80 (league 1.11)

Palermo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cesena 0 13.3% 24.1% 21.7% 13.1% 5.9% 2.1%
1 2.8% 5.1% 4.6% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4%
2 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.7% · Draw 18.9% · Away win 76.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1