Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Danilo Martelli
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.53 (league 1.43) 0.90 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.5% 36.8% 42.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.0%
0 - 1
21.6%
1 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Frosinone
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mantova 0 24.0% 21.6% 9.8% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1%
1 12.6% 11.4% 5.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 3.3% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMantovaFrosinone
Played44
Form25%67%
Attack14%23%
Defense73%91%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.85 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.52 | 0.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mantova Frosinone
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%0%25%50%50%50%
Draws0%0%0%50%50%50%
Loses50%100%75%0%0%0%

Form: Mantova: LWLL • Frosinone: WDWD

League goals

Metric Mantova Frosinone
HATHAT
GF total303415
GF avg1.50.00.82.00.51.3
GA total426202
GA avg2.01.01.51.00.00.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMantovaFrosinone
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%75%25%
1.525%25%50%25%
2.50%25%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMantovaFrosinone
HATHAT
Clean sheets000123
Failed to score022011

Penalties

MetricMantovaFrosinone
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricMantovaFrosinone
Wins11
Draws01
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-00-1
Biggest losses1-31-0
Goals For2021
Goals Against3120

Model comparison

MetricMantovaFrosinone
Form27%73%
Att38%63%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h50%50%
Goals57%43%
Total39.4%60.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Frosinone and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.71 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away2.75 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ William Hill
No2.13 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.86 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mantova = 0.53 (league 1.43), Frosinone = 0.90 (league 1.11)

Frosinone
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mantova 0 24.0% 21.6% 9.8% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1%
1 12.6% 11.4% 5.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 3.3% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.5% · Draw 36.8% · Away win 42.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1