Serie B — Italy
Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.08 (league 1.44) 0.92 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.3% 20.1% 15.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.8%
1 - 0
10.4%
2 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Virtus Entella
0 1 2 3 4 5
Avellino 0 5.0% 4.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.4% 9.5% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.8% 9.9% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.5% 6.9% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.9% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAvellinoVirtus Entella
Played44
Form58%42%
Attack32%18%
Defense68%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.84 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.84 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

86%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Avellino Virtus Entella
HATHAT
Played134224
Wins100%33%50%50%0%25%
Draws0%33%25%50%50%50%
Loses0%33%25%0%50%25%

Form: Avellino: LDWW • Virtus Entella: DDWL

League goals

Metric Avellino Virtus Entella
HATHAT
GF total257224
GF avg2.01.71.81.01.01.0
GA total167134
GA avg1.02.01.80.51.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAvellinoVirtus Entella
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%100%100%75%
1.550%50%0%25%
2.525%25%0%0%
3.525%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAvellinoVirtus Entella
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricAvellinoVirtus Entella
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAvellinoVirtus Entella
Wins01
Draws12
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-13-41-0—
Biggest losses—2-0—2-1
Goals For2411
Goals Against1312

Model comparison

MetricAvellinoVirtus Entella
Form58%42%
Att64%36%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h36%64%
Goals40%60%
Total51.0%49.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Virtus Entella

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.68 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ 188Bet
Away2.91 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.09 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.47 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.58 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Avellino = 2.08 (league 1.44), Virtus Entella = 0.92 (league 1.09)

Virtus Entella
0 1 2 3 4 5
Avellino 0 5.0% 4.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.4% 9.5% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.8% 9.9% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.5% 6.9% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.9% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.3% · Draw 20.1% · Away win 15.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1