Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Druso
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.43) 0.68 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.9% 32.8% 23.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.7%
0 - 0
17.8%
1 - 1
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Reggiana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sudtirol 0 17.8% 12.0% 4.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.7% 12.6% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.8% 6.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.4% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSudtirolReggiana
Played44
Form42%42%
Attack27%27%
Defense73%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.56 | 1.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.55 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sudtirol Reggiana
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%0%25%50%0%25%
Draws0%100%50%50%50%50%
Loses50%0%25%0%50%25%

Form: Sudtirol: DWLD • Reggiana: LWDD

League goals

Metric Sudtirol Reggiana
HATHAT
GF total336516
GF avg1.51.51.52.50.51.5
GA total336325
GA avg1.51.51.51.51.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSudtirolReggiana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%100%75%75%
1.550%50%50%50%
2.525%0%25%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSudtirolReggiana
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricSudtirolReggiana
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricSudtirolReggiana
Wins11
Draws10
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-13-1
Biggest losses0-22-1
Goals For3231
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricSudtirolReggiana
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h50%50%
Goals57%43%
Total52.5%47.5%

Advice: Double chance : Sudtirol or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.21 @ 1xBet
Draw3.32 @ Marathonbet
Away3.72 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ 188Bet
No1.89 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.23 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.69 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sudtirol = 1.05 (league 1.43), Reggiana = 0.68 (league 1.11)

Reggiana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sudtirol 0 17.8% 12.0% 4.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.7% 12.6% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.8% 6.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.4% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.9% · Draw 32.8% · Away win 23.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1