Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 15:15 • Brianteo
Match Finished
0 - 1
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.43) 0.36 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.8% 34.5% 12.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
25.6%
0 - 0
24.4%
2 - 0
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Padova
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monza 0 24.4% 8.8% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.6% 9.2% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.5% 4.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.7% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMonzaPadova
Played44
Form58%33%
Attack18%14%
Defense86%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 13 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.85 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

49%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Monza Padova
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins100%0%50%50%0%25%
Draws0%50%25%0%50%25%
Loses0%50%25%50%50%50%

Form: Monza: WDLW • Padova: LDLW

League goals

Metric Monza Padova
HATHAT
GF total224213
GF avg1.01.01.01.00.50.8
GA total033235
GA avg0.01.50.81.01.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMonzaPadova
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%50%75%
1.50%25%25%25%
2.50%0%0%25%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMonzaPadova
HATHAT
Clean sheets202011
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricMonzaPadova
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMonzaPadova
Wins10
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-02-1
Biggest losses2-10-13-1
Goals For1121
Goals Against0213

Model comparison

MetricMonzaPadova
Form64%36%
Att57%43%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total61.3%39.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Monza or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.79 @ 188Bet
Draw3.62 @ Marathonbet
Away5.19 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.21 @ 188Bet
No1.70 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.32 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Monza = 1.05 (league 1.43), Padova = 0.36 (league 1.11)

Padova
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monza 0 24.4% 8.8% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.6% 9.2% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.5% 4.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.7% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.8% · Draw 34.5% · Away win 12.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1