Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
Match Finished
2 - 0
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.43) 1.35 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.0% 27.2% 43.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 1
12.2%
1 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Spezia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Venezia 0 9.0% 12.2% 8.3% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3%
1 9.5% 12.8% 8.7% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.0% 6.8% 4.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.8% 2.4% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVeneziaSpezia
Played44
Form42%17%
Attack23%9%
Defense77%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.32 | 0.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 1.36 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Venezia Spezia
HATHAT
Played224314
Wins50%0%25%0%0%0%
Draws0%100%50%33%100%50%
Loses50%0%25%67%0%50%

Form: Venezia: WDDL • Spezia: LDDL

League goals

Metric Venezia Spezia
HATHAT
GF total325112
GF avg1.51.01.30.31.00.5
GA total325516
GA avg1.51.01.31.71.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVeneziaSpezia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%50%75%
1.550%50%0%50%
2.50%0%0%25%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVeneziaSpezia
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score011202

Penalties

MetricVeneziaSpezia
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricVeneziaSpezia
Wins10
Draws22
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1
Biggest losses1-21-3
Goals For2211
Goals Against2231

Model comparison

MetricVeneziaSpezia
Form71%29%
Att71%29%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h29%71%
Goals42%58%
Total52.3%47.7%

Advice: Double chance : Venezia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.26 @ 1xBet
Draw3.32 @ Marathonbet
Away3.54 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ 188Bet
No1.98 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.17 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.73 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Venezia = 1.05 (league 1.43), Spezia = 1.35 (league 1.11)

Spezia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Venezia 0 9.0% 12.2% 8.3% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3%
1 9.5% 12.8% 8.7% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.0% 6.8% 4.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.8% 2.4% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.0% · Draw 27.2% · Away win 43.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1