Serie B — Italy
Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
Match Finished
2 - 0
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.44) 1.37 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.4% 27.1% 44.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 1
12.3%
1 - 0
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Spezia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Venezia 0 8.9% 12.3% 8.4% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4%
1 9.3% 12.8% 8.8% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 4.8% 6.7% 4.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.7% 2.3% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVeneziaSpezia
Played44
Form42%17%
Attack23%9%
Defense77%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.32 | 0.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 1.36 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Venezia Spezia
HATHAT
Played224314
Wins50%0%25%0%0%0%
Draws0%100%50%33%100%50%
Loses50%0%25%67%0%50%

Form: Venezia: WDDL • Spezia: LDDL

League goals

Metric Venezia Spezia
HATHAT
GF total325112
GF avg1.51.01.30.31.00.5
GA total325516
GA avg1.51.01.31.71.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVeneziaSpezia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%50%75%
1.550%50%0%50%
2.50%0%0%25%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVeneziaSpezia
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score011202

Penalties

MetricVeneziaSpezia
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricVeneziaSpezia
Wins10
Draws22
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1———
Biggest losses1-2—1-3—
Goals For2211
Goals Against2231

Model comparison

MetricVeneziaSpezia
Form71%29%
Att71%29%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h29%71%
Goals42%58%
Total52.3%47.7%

Advice: Double chance : Venezia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.26 @ 1xBet
Draw3.32 @ Marathonbet
Away3.54 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ 188Bet
No1.98 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.17 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.73 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Venezia = 1.04 (league 1.44), Spezia = 1.37 (league 1.09)

Spezia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Venezia 0 8.9% 12.3% 8.4% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4%
1 9.3% 12.8% 8.8% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 4.8% 6.7% 4.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.7% 2.3% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.4% · Draw 27.1% · Away win 44.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1