Serie B — Italy
Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 17:30 • Stadio Carlo Castellani
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.42) 1.34 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.5% 28.3% 51.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.4%
0 - 0
12.9%
1 - 1
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Carrarese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Empoli 0 12.9% 17.4% 11.7% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5%
1 9.1% 12.2% 8.2% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 3.2% 4.3% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEmpoliCarrarese
Played44
Form33%42%
Attack45%55%
Defense18%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.36 | 1.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 2.35 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Empoli Carrarese
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%0%25%0%50%25%
Draws50%0%25%50%50%50%
Loses0%100%50%50%0%25%

Form: Empoli: WLDL • Carrarese: WDDL

League goals

Metric Empoli Carrarese
HATHAT
GF total415336
GF avg2.00.51.31.51.51.5
GA total279415
GA avg1.03.52.32.00.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEmpoliCarrarese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%100%75%50%
1.525%50%50%25%
2.525%50%25%25%
3.50%25%0%25%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEmpoliCarrarese
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricEmpoliCarrarese
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricEmpoliCarrarese
Wins11
Draws12
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1——0-2
Biggest losses—4-03-4—
Goals For3132
Goals Against1441

Model comparison

MetricEmpoliCarrarese
Form44%56%
Att45%55%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total42.2%57.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Carrarese

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.37 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Unibet
Away3.45 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Unibet
No1.93 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Empoli = 0.70 (league 1.42), Carrarese = 1.34 (league 1.12)

Carrarese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Empoli 0 12.9% 17.4% 11.7% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5%
1 9.1% 12.2% 8.2% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 3.2% 4.3% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.5% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 51.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1