Tue, Sep 30 2025 • 18:30 • Stadio Enrico Sannazzari
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.43) 0.14 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.1% 21.5% 2.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
28.1%
2 - 0
22.6%
0 - 0
17.5%
Score & goals probability table
Bari
0 1 2 3 4 5
Virtus Entella 0 17.5% 2.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.1% 3.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.6% 3.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.1% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVirtus EntellaBari
Played55
Form33%13%
Attack33%25%
Defense50%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Virtus Entella Bari
HATHAT
Played235235
Wins50%0%20%0%0%0%
Draws50%33%40%100%0%40%
Loses0%67%40%0%100%60%

Form: Virtus Entella: DDWLL • Bari: LDLLD

League goals

Metric Virtus Entella Bari
HATHAT
GF total224213
GF avg1.00.70.81.00.30.6
GA total156279
GA avg0.51.71.21.02.31.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVirtus EntellaBari
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%60%100%
1.50%40%0%60%
2.50%0%0%20%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVirtus EntellaBari
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score011022

Penalties

MetricVirtus EntellaBari
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricVirtus EntellaBari
Wins10
Draws21
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0
Biggest losses2-03-0
Goals For1111
Goals Against1213

Model comparison

MetricVirtus EntellaBari
Form71%29%
Att57%43%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution92%8%
H2h64%36%
Goals67%33%
Total68.5%31.5%

Advice: Double chance : Virtus Entella or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ Unibet
Away3.80 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.59 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.14 @ Pinnacle
No1.75 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Virtus Entella = 1.61 (league 1.43), Bari = 0.14 (league 1.11)

Bari
0 1 2 3 4 5
Virtus Entella 0 17.5% 2.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.1% 3.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.6% 3.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.1% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.1% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 2.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1