Tue, Sep 30 2025 • 18:30 • Stadio Renzo Barbera
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.43) 0.27 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.6% 38.7% 10.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
30.7%
1 - 0
28.0%
2 - 0
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Venezia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Palermo 0 30.7% 8.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.0% 7.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.7% 3.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPalermoVenezia
Played55
Form73%53%
Attack58%58%
Defense83%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Palermo Venezia
HATHAT
Played325325
Wins67%50%60%67%0%40%
Draws33%50%40%0%100%40%
Loses0%0%0%33%0%20%

Form: Palermo: WDWWD • Venezia: WDDLW

League goals

Metric Palermo Venezia
HATHAT
GF total437527
GF avg1.31.51.41.71.01.4
GA total112325
GA avg0.30.50.41.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePalermoVenezia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%40%80%60%
1.560%0%60%40%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPalermoVenezia
HATHAT
Clean sheets213112
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricPalermoVenezia
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricPalermoVenezia
Wins21
Draws12
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-22-0
Biggest losses1-2
Goals For2222
Goals Against1122

Model comparison

MetricPalermoVenezia
Form58%42%
Att50%50%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h20%80%
Goals38%63%
Total52.3%47.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Palermo or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.13 @ 1xBet
Draw3.40 @ Unibet
Away3.84 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.06 @ SBO
Under 2.51.93 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ 188Bet
No2.09 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Palermo = 0.91 (league 1.43), Venezia = 0.27 (league 1.11)

Venezia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Palermo 0 30.7% 8.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.0% 7.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.7% 3.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.6% · Draw 38.7% · Away win 10.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1