Tue, Sep 30 2025 • 18:30 • MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.63 (league 1.43) 0.68 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.9% 13.7% 7.2%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.7%
3 - 0
11.1%
1 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Spezia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Reggiana 0 3.7% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.6% 6.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.7% 8.6% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.1% 7.5% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.3% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReggianaSpezia
Played55
Form33%13%
Attack58%17%
Defense33%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Reggiana Spezia
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%0%20%0%0%0%
Draws50%33%40%33%50%40%
Loses0%67%40%67%50%60%

Form: Reggiana: LWDDL • Spezia: LDDLL

League goals

Metric Reggiana Spezia
HATHAT
GF total527112
GF avg2.50.71.40.30.50.4
GA total358538
GA avg1.51.71.61.71.51.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReggianaSpezia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%40%80%
1.540%60%0%60%
2.520%20%0%20%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReggianaSpezia
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score011213

Penalties

MetricReggianaSpezia
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricReggianaSpezia
Wins10
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1
Biggest losses3-11-32-0
Goals For3111
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricReggianaSpezia
Form71%29%
Att78%22%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h50%50%
Goals40%60%
Total61.7%38.3%

Advice: Winner : Reggiana

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.08 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away2.05 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.79 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Unibet
No1.97 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Reggiana = 2.63 (league 1.43), Spezia = 0.68 (league 1.11)

Spezia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Reggiana 0 3.7% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.6% 6.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.7% 8.6% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.1% 7.5% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.3% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.9% · Draw 13.7% · Away win 7.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1