Tue, Sep 30 2025 • 18:30 • Stadio Benito Stirpe
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.43) 2.07 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.5% 21.2% 51.1%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.3%
1 - 1
9.0%
0 - 2
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
Cesena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Frosinone 0 3.1% 6.4% 6.6% 4.6% 2.4% 1.0%
1 4.3% 9.0% 9.3% 6.4% 3.3% 1.4%
2 3.0% 6.3% 6.5% 4.5% 2.3% 1.0%
3 1.4% 2.9% 3.1% 2.1% 1.1% 0.5%
4 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFrosinoneCesena
Played55
Form73%73%
Attack83%75%
Defense75%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Frosinone Cesena
HATHAT
Played235235
Wins50%67%60%0%100%60%
Draws50%33%40%100%0%40%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Frosinone: WDWDW • Cesena: WDWWD

League goals

Metric Frosinone Cesena
HATHAT
GF total4610279
GF avg2.02.02.01.02.31.8
GA total213235
GA avg1.00.30.61.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFrosinoneCesena
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%40%100%100%
1.560%20%60%0%
2.520%0%20%0%
3.520%0%0%0%
4.520%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFrosinoneCesena
HATHAT
Clean sheets123000
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricFrosinoneCesena
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricFrosinoneCesena
Wins12
Draws11
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-51-3
Biggest losses
Goals For2513
Goals Against2111

Model comparison

MetricFrosinoneCesena
Form50%50%
Att53%47%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total51.3%48.8%

Advice: Double chance : Frosinone or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.73 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.28 @ Marathonbet
Away2.92 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.22 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.73 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ Unibet
No2.05 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Frosinone = 1.40 (league 1.43), Cesena = 2.07 (league 1.11)

Cesena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Frosinone 0 3.1% 6.4% 6.6% 4.6% 2.4% 1.0%
1 4.3% 9.0% 9.3% 6.4% 3.3% 1.4%
2 3.0% 6.3% 6.5% 4.5% 2.3% 1.0%
3 1.4% 2.9% 3.1% 2.1% 1.1% 0.5%
4 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.5% · Draw 21.2% · Away win 51.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1