Wed, Oct 1 2025 • 18:30 • Stadio Carlo Castellani
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
2.10 (league 1.43) 1.17 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.7% 20.7% 20.5%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 1
9.3%
2 - 0
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
Monza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Empoli 0 3.8% 4.4% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 7.9% 9.3% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.4% 9.8% 5.7% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.9% 6.9% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.1% 3.6% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
5 1.3% 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEmpoliMonza
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack54%31%
Defense15%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Empoli Monza
HATHAT
Played325325
Wins33%0%20%67%0%40%
Draws67%0%40%0%50%20%
Loses0%100%40%33%50%40%

Form: Empoli: WLDLD • Monza: WDLWL

League goals

Metric Empoli Monza
HATHAT
GF total617224
GF avg2.00.51.40.71.00.8
GA total4711134
GA avg1.33.52.20.31.50.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEmpoliMonza
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%100%80%60%
1.540%60%0%20%
2.520%40%0%0%
3.50%20%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEmpoliMonza
HATHAT
Clean sheets000202
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricEmpoliMonza
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricEmpoliMonza
Wins11
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-0
Biggest losses4-00-12-1
Goals For3111
Goals Against2412

Model comparison

MetricEmpoliMonza
Form42%58%
Att64%36%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h50%50%
Goals58%42%
Total51.0%49.0%

Advice: Double chance : Empoli or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.29 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ 188Bet
Away2.70 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.68 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Betfair
No1.78 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Empoli = 2.10 (league 1.43), Monza = 1.17 (league 1.11)

Monza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Empoli 0 3.8% 4.4% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 7.9% 9.3% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.4% 9.8% 5.7% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.9% 6.9% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.1% 3.6% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
5 1.3% 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.7% · Draw 20.7% · Away win 20.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1