Wed, Oct 1 2025 • 18:30 • Stadio dei Marmi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.53 (league 1.43) 4.51 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.2% 3.4% 65.6%
best score tips
0 - 4
11.2%
0 - 5
10.1%
0 - 3
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Modena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carrarese 0 0.7% 2.9% 6.6% 9.9% 11.2% 10.1%
1 0.3% 1.5% 3.5% 5.2% 5.9% 5.3%
2 0.1% 0.4% 0.9% 1.4% 1.5% 1.4%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCarrareseModena
Played55
Form40%87%
Attack62%85%
Defense46%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Carrarese Modena
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins0%33%20%67%100%80%
Draws50%67%60%33%0%20%
Loses50%0%20%0%0%0%

Form: Carrarese: WDDLD • Modena: WDWWW

League goals

Metric Carrarese Modena
HATHAT
GF total3586511
GF avg1.51.71.62.02.52.2
GA total437213
GA avg2.01.01.40.70.50.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCarrareseModena
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%60%100%60%
1.560%40%80%0%
2.520%20%40%0%
3.50%20%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCarrareseModena
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricCarrareseModena
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricCarrareseModena
Wins11
Draws21
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-23-01-3
Biggest losses3-4
Goals For3233
Goals Against4211

Model comparison

MetricCarrareseModena
Form32%68%
Att42%58%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution11%89%
H2h25%75%
Goals33%67%
Total28.8%71.2%

Advice: Winner : Modena

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.70 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ Unibet
Away2.30 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.45 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.63 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.86 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Carrarese = 0.53 (league 1.43), Modena = 4.51 (league 1.11)

Modena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carrarese 0 0.7% 2.9% 6.6% 9.9% 11.2% 10.1%
1 0.3% 1.5% 3.5% 5.2% 5.9% 5.3%
2 0.1% 0.4% 0.9% 1.4% 1.5% 1.4%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.2% · Draw 3.4% · Away win 65.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1