Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 17:30 • Stadio Alberto Braglia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.38 (league 1.43) 0.44 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
77.3% 14.0% 5.2%
best score tips
2 - 0
16.8%
1 - 0
14.1%
3 - 0
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Virtus Entella
0 1 2 3 4 5
Modena 0 5.9% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.1% 6.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.8% 7.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.4% 5.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.0% 3.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricModenaVirtus Entella
Played55
Form73%33%
Attack75%42%
Defense75%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Modena Virtus Entella
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins67%67%67%33%0%17%
Draws33%33%33%67%33%50%
Loses0%0%0%0%67%33%

Form: Modena: WDWWWD • Virtus Entella: DDWLLD

League goals

Metric Modena Virtus Entella
HATHAT
GF total6511426
GF avg2.01.71.81.30.71.0
GA total213358
GA avg0.70.30.51.01.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineModenaVirtus Entella
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%50%83%83%
1.567%0%17%50%
2.533%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricModenaVirtus Entella
HATHAT
Clean sheets123101
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricModenaVirtus Entella
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricModenaVirtus Entella
Wins31
Draws12
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-31-0
Biggest losses2-0
Goals For3321
Goals Against1122

Model comparison

MetricModenaVirtus Entella
Form69%31%
Att64%36%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution86%14%
H2h50%50%
Goals60%40%
Total66.5%33.5%

Advice: Winner : Modena

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.87 @ Superbet
Draw3.39 @ Pinnacle
Away4.93 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.31 @ 188Bet
No1.70 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Modena = 2.38 (league 1.43), Virtus Entella = 0.44 (league 1.11)

Virtus Entella
0 1 2 3 4 5
Modena 0 5.9% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.1% 6.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.8% 7.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.4% 5.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.0% 3.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.3% · Draw 14.0% · Away win 5.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1