Serie B — Italy
Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Druso
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.90 (league 1.43) 0.59 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.6% 2.8% 1.0%
best score tips
4 - 0
9.9%
5 - 0
9.8%
3 - 0
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Empoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sudtirol 0 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.0% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.1% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.9% 5.8% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.8% 5.7% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSudtirolEmpoli
Played55
Form53%20%
Attack75%42%
Defense42%8%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sudtirol Empoli
HATHAT
Played336426
Wins67%0%33%25%0%17%
Draws0%100%50%75%0%50%
Loses33%0%17%0%100%33%

Form: Sudtirol: DWLDWD • Empoli: WLDLDD

League goals

Metric Sudtirol Empoli
HATHAT
GF total6410718
GF avg2.01.31.71.80.51.3
GA total4485712
GA avg1.31.31.31.33.52.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSudtirolEmpoli
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%100%83%100%
1.550%33%33%50%
2.533%0%17%33%
3.50%0%0%17%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSudtirolEmpoli
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricSudtirolEmpoli
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSudtirolEmpoli
Wins11
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1—3-1—
Biggest losses0-2——4-0
Goals For3231
Goals Against2224

Model comparison

MetricSudtirolEmpoli
Form73%27%
Att64%36%
Def61%39%
Poisson Distribution90%10%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total72.0%28.0%

Advice: Combo Winner : Sudtirol and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.31 @ SBO
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away3.76 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.39 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Unibet
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sudtirol = 4.90 (league 1.43), Empoli = 0.59 (league 1.11)

Empoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sudtirol 0 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.0% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.1% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.9% 5.8% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.8% 5.7% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.6% · Draw 2.8% · Away win 1.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1