Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.82 (league 1.43) 0.14 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
78.8% 17.8% 2.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
25.7%
2 - 0
23.4%
3 - 0
14.2%
Score & goals probability table
Mantova
0 1 2 3 4 5
Avellino 0 14.1% 1.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.7% 3.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 23.4% 3.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.2% 1.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAvellinoMantova
Played55
Form73%20%
Attack100%63%
Defense13%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Avellino Mantova
HATHAT
Played246336
Wins100%25%50%33%0%17%
Draws0%50%33%0%0%0%
Loses0%25%17%67%100%83%

Form: Avellino: LDWWWD • Mantova: LWLLLL

League goals

Metric Avellino Mantova
HATHAT
GF total4711415
GF avg2.01.81.81.30.30.8
GA total1899413
GA avg0.52.01.53.01.32.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAvellinoMantova
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%83%67%100%
1.567%50%17%50%
2.517%17%0%33%
3.517%0%0%17%
4.50%0%0%17%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAvellinoMantova
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score011022

Penalties

MetricAvellinoMantova
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricAvellinoMantova
Wins31
Draws10
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-03-42-1
Biggest losses2-01-52-1
Goals For2421
Goals Against1352

Model comparison

MetricAvellinoMantova
Form79%21%
Att69%31%
Def63%37%
Poisson Distribution93%7%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total76.0%24.0%

Advice: Winner : Avellino

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.97 @ Superbet
Draw3.53 @ Pinnacle
Away4.28 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.06 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.85 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ 188Bet
No1.98 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Avellino = 1.82 (league 1.43), Mantova = 0.14 (league 1.11)

Mantova
0 1 2 3 4 5
Avellino 0 14.1% 1.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.7% 3.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 23.4% 3.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.2% 1.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.8% · Draw 17.8% · Away win 2.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1