Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 15:15 • Stadio Alberto Picco
Match Finished
1 - 2
Expected Goals
0.11 (league 1.43) 2.30 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.1% 11.3% 84.5%
best score tips
0 - 2
23.9%
0 - 1
20.8%
0 - 3
18.3%
Score & goals probability table
Palermo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spezia 0 9.0% 20.8% 23.9% 18.3% 10.5% 4.8%
1 0.9% 2.2% 2.5% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5%
2 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpeziaPalermo
Played55
Form20%60%
Attack38%63%
Defense13%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.41 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Spezia Palermo
HATHAT
Played336426
Wins0%0%0%50%50%50%
Draws33%67%50%50%50%50%
Loses67%33%50%0%0%0%

Form: Spezia: LDDLLD • Palermo: WDWWDD

League goals

Metric Spezia Palermo
HATHAT
GF total123437
GF avg0.30.70.51.01.51.2
GA total549112
GA avg1.71.31.50.30.50.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpeziaPalermo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%83%67%33%
1.50%50%50%0%
2.50%17%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpeziaPalermo
HATHAT
Clean sheets101314
Failed to score213202

Penalties

MetricSpeziaPalermo
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSpeziaPalermo
Wins02
Draws21
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-2
Biggest losses1-32-0
Goals For1122
Goals Against3211

Model comparison

MetricSpeziaPalermo
Form25%75%
Att38%63%
Def13%88%
Poisson Distribution5%95%
H2h50%50%
Goals47%53%
Total29.7%70.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Palermo and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.72 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away3.02 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ Pinnacle
No1.80 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Spezia = 0.11 (league 1.43), Palermo = 2.30 (league 1.11)

Palermo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spezia 0 9.0% 20.8% 23.9% 18.3% 10.5% 4.8%
1 0.9% 2.2% 2.5% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5%
2 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.1% · Draw 11.3% · Away win 84.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1