Serie B — Italy
Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 17:30 • Stadio Dino Manuzzi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.42) 0.63 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.6% 30.8% 19.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.3%
0 - 0
16.2%
1 - 1
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Reggiana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cesena 0 16.2% 10.1% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.3% 12.1% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.5% 7.2% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.6% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCesenaReggiana
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack88%88%
Defense13%13%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cesena Reggiana
HATHAT
Played246336
Wins0%75%50%33%0%17%
Draws100%0%33%67%33%50%
Loses0%25%17%0%67%33%

Form: Cesena: WDWWDL • Reggiana: LWDDLD

League goals

Metric Cesena Reggiana
HATHAT
GF total2810628
GF avg1.02.01.72.00.71.3
GA total268459
GA avg1.01.51.31.31.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCesenaReggiana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%83%83%
1.550%17%33%50%
2.517%17%17%17%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCesenaReggiana
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricCesenaReggiana
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricCesenaReggiana
Wins21
Draws12
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-33-1—
Biggest losses—3-1—3-1
Goals For1331
Goals Against1323

Model comparison

MetricCesenaReggiana
Form57%43%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h62%38%
Goals55%45%
Total56.8%43.2%

Advice: Double chance : Cesena or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ Betano
Draw3.96 @ Pinnacle
Away5.84 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.83 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cesena = 1.19 (league 1.42), Reggiana = 0.63 (league 1.12)

Reggiana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cesena 0 16.2% 10.1% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.3% 12.1% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.5% 7.2% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.6% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.6% · Draw 30.8% · Away win 19.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1