Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Benito Stirpe
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.10 (league 1.43) 0.90 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.9% 19.9% 15.1%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.0%
1 - 0
10.5%
2 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Monza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Frosinone 0 5.0% 4.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.5% 9.4% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.0% 9.9% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.7% 6.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.0% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFrosinoneMonza
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack65%29%
Defense59%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Frosinone Monza
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins67%50%57%75%0%43%
Draws33%25%29%0%67%29%
Loses0%25%14%25%33%29%

Form: Frosinone: WDWDWWL • Monza: WDLWLDW

League goals

Metric Frosinone Monza
HATHAT
GF total7613437
GF avg2.31.51.91.01.01.0
GA total347246
GA avg1.01.01.00.51.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFrosinoneMonza
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%57%86%71%
1.557%29%14%14%
2.529%14%0%0%
3.514%0%0%0%
4.514%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFrosinoneMonza
HATHAT
Clean sheets123202
Failed to score022101

Penalties

MetricFrosinoneMonza
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricFrosinoneMonza
Wins21
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-52-1
Biggest losses3-00-12-1
Goals For3521
Goals Against2312

Model comparison

MetricFrosinoneMonza
Form59%41%
Att69%31%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h60%40%
Goals59%41%
Total59.8%40.2%

Advice: Winner : Frosinone

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.62 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away2.90 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ 188Bet
No2.00 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Frosinone = 2.10 (league 1.43), Monza = 0.90 (league 1.11)

Monza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Frosinone 0 5.0% 4.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.5% 9.4% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.0% 9.9% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.7% 6.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.0% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.9% · Draw 19.9% · Away win 15.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1