Serie B — Italy
Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 17:30 • Stadio Nicola Ceravolo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.44) 0.95 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.7% 29.5% 29.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.0%
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Padova
0 1 2 3 4 5
Catanzaro 0 11.9% 11.4% 5.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.0% 13.3% 6.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.2% 7.8% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.2% 3.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCatanzaroPadova
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack40%40%
Defense53%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Catanzaro Padova
HATHAT
Played347347
Wins0%0%0%33%25%29%
Draws100%75%86%33%25%29%
Loses0%25%14%33%50%43%

Form: Catanzaro: DDDDDDL • Padova: LDLWWDL

League goals

Metric Catanzaro Padova
HATHAT
GF total437437
GF avg1.30.81.01.30.81.0
GA total448459
GA avg1.31.01.11.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCatanzaroPadova
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%71%71%71%
1.529%43%29%43%
2.50%0%0%14%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCatanzaroPadova
HATHAT
Clean sheets022022
Failed to score022112

Penalties

MetricCatanzaroPadova
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricCatanzaroPadova
Wins02
Draws61
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——2-10-1
Biggest losses—2-10-13-1
Goals For2221
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricCatanzaroPadova
Form36%64%
Att50%50%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total40.2%59.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Padova

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.41 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.44 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.41 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ Unibet
No1.91 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Catanzaro = 1.17 (league 1.44), Padova = 0.95 (league 1.09)

Padova
0 1 2 3 4 5
Catanzaro 0 11.9% 11.4% 5.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.0% 13.3% 6.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.2% 7.8% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.2% 3.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.7% · Draw 29.5% · Away win 29.6%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1