Serie B — Italy
Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 13:00 • MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Match Finished
3 - 1
Expected Goals
3.17 (league 1.45) 0.96 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.2% 11.7% 7.8%
best score tips
3 - 0
8.5%
3 - 1
8.2%
2 - 0
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Bari
0 1 2 3 4 5
Reggiana 0 1.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.1% 4.9% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.1% 7.7% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.5% 8.2% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 6.8% 6.5% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
5 4.3% 4.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReggianaBari
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack35%29%
Defense59%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Reggiana Bari
HATHAT
Played347347
Wins33%25%29%33%0%14%
Draws67%25%43%67%25%43%
Loses0%50%29%0%75%43%

Form: Reggiana: LWDDLDW • Bari: LDLLDDW

League goals

Metric Reggiana Bari
HATHAT
GF total6410437
GF avg2.01.01.41.30.81.0
GA total46103912
GA avg1.31.51.41.02.31.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReggianaBari
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%86%71%100%
1.543%43%29%57%
2.514%14%0%14%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReggianaBari
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score011022

Penalties

MetricReggianaBari
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricReggianaBari
Wins10
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-22-1—
Biggest losses—3-1—3-0
Goals For3222
Goals Against2313

Model comparison

MetricReggianaBari
Form55%45%
Att55%45%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h75%25%
Goals67%33%
Total64.2%35.8%

Advice: Winner : Reggiana

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.95 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.04 @ Pinnacle
Away2.74 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No2.04 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.17 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Reggiana = 3.17 (league 1.45), Bari = 0.96 (league 1.08)

Bari
0 1 2 3 4 5
Reggiana 0 1.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.1% 4.9% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.1% 7.7% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.5% 8.2% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 6.8% 6.5% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
5 4.3% 4.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.2% · Draw 11.7% · Away win 7.8%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1