Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 15:15 • Stadio Carlo Castellani
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
0.88 (league 1.43) 0.82 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.7% 34.0% 31.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
18.2%
1 - 0
16.1%
0 - 1
14.9%
Score & goals probability table
Venezia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Empoli 0 18.2% 14.9% 6.1% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.1% 13.2% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
2 7.1% 5.8% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEmpoliVenezia
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack40%53%
Defense40%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Empoli Venezia
HATHAT
Played437437
Wins25%33%29%75%0%43%
Draws75%0%43%0%100%43%
Loses0%67%29%25%0%14%

Form: Empoli: WLDLDDW • Venezia: WDDLWDW

League goals

Metric Empoli Venezia
HATHAT
GF total73108210
GF avg1.81.01.42.00.71.4
GA total5813325
GA avg1.32.71.90.80.70.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEmpoliVenezia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%100%71%43%
1.543%43%57%29%
2.514%29%14%0%
3.50%14%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEmpoliVenezia
HATHAT
Clean sheets000224
Failed to score011022

Penalties

MetricEmpoliVenezia
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricEmpoliVenezia
Wins11
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-23-0
Biggest losses4-01-2
Goals For3232
Goals Against2422

Model comparison

MetricEmpoliVenezia
Form43%57%
Att43%57%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h36%64%
Goals46%54%
Total41.7%58.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Venezia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.12 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away2.66 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.31 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No1.96 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Empoli = 0.88 (league 1.43), Venezia = 0.82 (league 1.11)

Venezia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Empoli 0 18.2% 14.9% 6.1% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.1% 13.2% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
2 7.1% 5.8% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.7% · Draw 34.0% · Away win 31.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1